Somalia Faces Potential Conflict With Ethiopia in a ‘Pivotal Year’ – The New York Times

Terrorism, hunger and devastating floods have roiled the Horn of Africa nation. Now, it faces an even bigger challenge: the prospect of war with a neighbor, Ethiopia.
A busy street in Mogadishu, Somalia’s capital. Rising tensions between Somalia and neighboring Ethiopia could plunge an already turbulent region into further chaos, some experts say.Credit…
Supported by
By Abdi Latif Dahir
Photographs by Brian Otieno
Abdi Latif Dahir and Brian Otieno traveled to the Somali capital, Mogadishu, to interview the country’s president and spoke to almost two dozen officials and citizens.
A 10-year defense and economic deal with Turkey to protect its seacoast and bolster its naval force. An agreement with the United States to construct five military bases for over $100 million. An enhanced defense cooperation accord with Uganda to boost the fight against the terrorist group Al Shabab.
The three security pacts signed by Somalia in recent days underscore the increasing perils the Horn of Africa nation faces both internally and externally.
Internally, the nation confronts the persistent threat of Al Shabab, the Qaeda affiliate that has remained resilient even as the departure date for African Union peacekeeping forces — whose offensives helped put the group on the back foot — looms in December.
Equally worrisome, tensions are growing between Somalia and its western neighbor, Ethiopia, over Somalia’s coastline — the longest in mainland Africa — threatening to set off a new conflict in a vital global shipping route in an increasingly volatile region.
Somalia faces “a pivotal year,” said Omar S. Mahmood, the senior Eastern Africa analyst for the International Crisis Group. “A number of critical timelines linked to both domestic politics and security are coinciding, and the way these are handled will determine the country’s trajectory.”
Gulf of Aden
Addis Ababa
Somaliland
ETHIOPIA
SOMALIA
Mogadishu
Africa
Detail
area
Indian Ocean
250 MILES
By The New York Times
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